Thursday, October 14, 2010

Big Ten Midseason Breakdown

So, I feel like we have settled in to a nice groove here at Goal Posters. One post every 4 months seems a sustainable pace. Anyway, I've decided to throw down some content here as we have hit the half way point of the FBS College Football season. First up is a power ranking for the Big Ten teams, with some info on how things are going and we'll wrap it up with my all-Big Ten team at the halfway mark.

1. Ohio State (2-0, 6-0): The Buckeyes are ranked number one nationally and have spent all year as a legitimate National Championship candidate. Mostly, they have looked the part. They physically dominated the then 12th ranked Miami Hurricanes, and smashed a few patsies. That includes a video game like 73-20 demolition of Eastern Michigan. There are some concerns though, many stemming from last week's ugly win over Illinois. This team appears to be dominant defensively, and Terrelle Pryor has matured in the passing game, but outside of his scrambles, there is little to no run game in Columbus. That could cause problems for this week's trip to 18th ranked Wisconsin, and a Nov. 20th showdown with Iowa in Iowa City.

2. Michigan State (2-0, 6-0): Sparty is having himself a year. MSU is 6-0 for the first time since Nick Saban was the coach, and they hammered then 18th ranked arch-rival Michigan, beating them for the third consecutive year. State has done it on the ground with a three man rotation at tailback, and on defense thanks to a much improved secondary. A home victory over Wisconsin remains impressive. The pass defense still has some concerns, and the schedule has some tough games left (like at Iowa for instance), but this team doesn't have to play OSU, and are really starting to here Big Ten championship buzz. And, not to jinx anything, the phrase "BCS bowl" has been uttered more than once around East Lansing.

MSU back Edwin Baker scores at the Big House


3. Iowa (1-0, 4-1): The Hawkeyes are kind of the forgotten bunch around the Big Ten. A preseason top ten national ranking disappeared with a loss at Arizona, and since then they have been overshadowed by the success of the two teams above them. 15th ranked Iowa is going to have a lot to say about how the Big Ten race plays out however, as MSU, OSU, and Wisconsin all have to come to Kinnick Stadium. Coming off a sound beating of Penn State, and then a bye last week, Iowa heads to Ann Arbor, in a game they should control. Their elite defense, led by NFL prospect d-lineman Adrian Clayborn, gives them a chance to win any game.

4. Wisconsin (1-1, 5-1): Wisconsin opened the season with high expectations and flew through a fairly week non-conference schedule, that featured a 70-3 takedown of Austin Peay. And no that is not a typo. But, the 18th ranked Badgers were dealt a severe setback in their Big Ten opener with a road loss at MSU. That makes this weekends showdown a virtual must win against Ohio State if they want to remain in the title race. A powerful running game led by last season's Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year in John Clay, along with a strong home field advantage at Camp Randall Stadium gives them a puncher's chance. Later games at Iowa and Michigan also loom large.

5. Michigan (1-1, 5-1): For the second straight year the Wolverines came out of the gate fast, featuring a young quarterback and a high-octane offense. Both years, their hopes at an undefeated season ended at the hands of their in-state rival the Spartans. Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez hopes the similarities end there as the Wolverines suffered through an epic collapse. In order to turn it around (and keep his job), RichRod will rely heavily on the electric Heisman Trophy candidate, quarterback Denard Robinson. The nation's current leader in rushing yards was shut down by MSU, and will have to play better as U of M hosts the Iowa Hawkeyes this week. Another loss and the comparisons to last year will begin to be hard to refute.

6. Illinois (1-1, 3-2): Led by a strong rushing attack, the Fighting Illini have exceeded expectations so far this year, as they attempt to save head coach Ron Zook's job. Both of their losses have come against currently undefeated teams (Missouri and Ohio State), and were hard fought. But last week, was when the country took notice as Illinois beat up on Penn State in Happy Valley 30-13. The Fighting Illini stay on the road this week as they will attempt to spoil MSU's homecoming by playing smash mouth football. Its hard to see them competing for the Big Ten title, but an above .500 finish and a decent bowl game would be a very nice turnaround for this squad.


Illinois QB Nathan Scheelhaase dives for a TD

7. Northwestern (1-1, 5-1): A bad home loss to a tremendously beat up Purdue squad last week, officially brought an end to the Wildcats' undefeated season, but winning ugly and lucky had been a regular proposition for this supposedly talented squad, so a loss seemed inevitable. Three of Northwestern's five wins are by a total of eight points. And the competition hasn't been all that stiff. A bye week and then a visit from Michigan State offer the chance to turn things around in a big way, but later games against Iowa and Wisconsin loom. Any chance of a turnaround needs to be quick, and permanent in a tough Big Ten. This team has no easy game left and could very easily miss a bowl.

8. Purdue (1-0, 3-2): Modest preseason expectations were quickly tampered when a huge number of injuries hit the Boilermakers on both sides of the ball. Season ending injuries have taken out their top runner Ralph Bolden, receiver Keith Smith, and quarterback Robert Marve. Backup QBRob Henry led an inspired effort last week however, as Purdue upset a previously undefeated Northwestern team 20-17. The Purdue defense, led by senior defensive end Ryan Kerrigan, has been stout as well. This week the Boilers host Minnesota and have a good shot at remaining undefeated in the Big Ten, at least for another week. After that they head to Columbus and Ohio State, and a miracle win seems impossible. What does seem possible, is for this plucky, resilient team to pick up three more wins from the back half of their schedule and head off to a bowl game. An impressive season considering.

9. Indiana (0-2, 3-2): The Hoosiers are struggling from injuries, but never really expected to compete in the Big Ten anyway. While two of their toughest games are behind them, I don't see more than three wins left at best on the schedule, and one of those games is not against Big Ten competition. Ben Chappell is an outstanding quarterback and leads a strong offense, but a porous defense makes any bowl game seem unlikely.

10. Penn State (0-2, 3-3): Very strange to see Joe Paterno's Nittany Lions all the way down here. Especially since they entered the season ranked 19th nationally. An anemic offense led by a first year started in Rob Bolden, combined with a slew of defensive injuries have sapped PSU's strength. Running back Evan Royster was supposed to carry the offense, but has never gotten going. In their three losses they are averaging a pathetic 6.3 points per game. Against all FBS foes it is only at 13 ppg. Beatdowns at the hands of Alabama, Iowa, and especially Illinois have been embarrassing. A bye this week gives them a chance to regroup and heal, and next week they have cellar dweller Minnesota, but then things get harder. If the season continues down hill, the calls for JoePa to step down will grow.


Penn State head coach Joe Paterno leads his team

11. Minnesota (0-2, 1-5): The Golden Gophers have been flat out awful, in what simply has to be head coach Tim Brewster's last season. A close win over mighty Middle Tennessee State has been the lone highlight, and a loss to FCS foe South Dakota helps to put in perspective just how bad this team has been. Senior quarterback Adam Weber and a mediocre offense have failed to offset an atrocious defense. Chemistry problems abound, and mostly it appears the team has quit on Brewster, who didn't help his case by looking like an idiot during a shellacking against Wisconsin last week. The absolute best case scenario is a 3-9 finish, and I fully expect Brewster to be gone well before that.
    All-Big Ten Team
    Coach: Mark Dantonio/Don Treadwell - Michigan State - These two have combined for some great coaching calls, and have provided the kind of guidance and continuity that this program needed.

    Offense
    QB: Terrelle Pryor - Ohio State - After Denard Robinson's stumble there is not much choice here.
    RB: Edwin Baker - Michigan State - Just beats out Clay thanks to some big runs and pass protection.
    FB: Nick Bendzuck - Michigan State - Huge reason for MSU's rushing success so far.
    WR: Jeremy Ebert - Northwestern - Statistically far and away the best.
    WR: Dane Sanzenbacher - Ohio State - Leads the league with 7 receiving touchdowns.
    TE: Lance Kendricks - Wisconsin - No doubt here. He is one of the best in the country. 
    OL: Michigan - This unit has opened all kinds of gaps for the nation's leading rusher.

    Defense
    DE: Ryan Kerrigan - Purdue - Big Ten sack leader and Purdue's emotional leader.
    DE: Adrian Clayborn - Iowa - Faces a double team every play and has still been productive.
    DT: Mike Daniels - Iowa - Shores up the middle for a very strong run defense.
    DT: Cameron Heyward - Ohio State - Very tough inside despite being keyed on every week.
    OLB: Ross Homan - Ohio State - Very strong outside linebacker has really helped OSU's D
    OLB: Quentin Davie - Northwestern - Playmaker for solid N'western D.
    MLB: Greg Jones - Michigan State - Outstanding player. Causes disruption every week.
    CB: Chimdi Chekwa - Ohio State - Shutdown corner. Takes away best WR every week.
    CB: Shaun Prater - Iowa - Acts as the shutdown corner for the Hawkeyes elite secondary.
    S: Tyler Sash - Iowa - Instant NFL prospect. Very hard hitting safety. Strong in run support.
    S: Marcus Hyde - Michigan State - Has made several touchdown saving plays. Very sure tackler.

    Friday, July 9, 2010

    Free Agency Circus: Decision 2010

    Rudy Gay - Memphis Grizzlies
    Gay re-signs with a promising young team that has potential to develop and has learned to play very well together. It is hard to fault him for choosing what he knows over signing with a potentially volatile team team such as the Clippers. The Grizzlies are a familiar place where he knows his role, and this team will only get better.

    Joe Johnson - Atlanta Hawks
    Show me the money. Thats what Johnson told the Hawks, and they listened. He stays on a team that was the 3 seed in the east last year, but got swept in the second round (partly because of an atrocious series by Johnson). I can’t help but feel that he would have been better off joining the Bulls. Chicago needs a scoring 2 guard who can shoot, the overall ceiling of the team is higher, and Johnson would have other reliable scorers to take the load off of him in crunch time.

    Carlos Boozer - Chicago Bulls
    I love this move. The biggest need for Chicago was post scoring, and Boozer provides that in bunches. Boozer will also be paired in the frontcourt with a defensive, shot-blocking center, a luxury he never had in Utah.

    Dirk Nowitzki - Dallas Mavericks
    Dirk is the man in Dallas, and everybody knew that he wasn’t seriously considering leaving. Re-signing keeps him on a very competitive team, but an aging one. The window for this squad is closing within the next two seasons, if it isn’t shut already.

    Paul Pierce & Ray Allen - Boston Celtics
    Both re-signed to make one or two more runs at another title. It seems that if this years playoff run didn’t happen, at the very least Allen would have bolted town, because many teams could use his services. As it stands, this team could make another run to the title game, but with new east powers in Chicago and Miami along with an aging roster, that seems unlikely.

    Amare Stoudemire - New York Knicks
    Amare got left hanging by the rest of this free agent class. With all the glitz and glamour of the big city, ultimately the lack of faith in the Knick’s program kept other stars far away. There is hope: D’Antoni is a good coach, Gallinari is a shooter, Wilson Chandler is solid, Anthony Randolph and Tony Douglas have potential, and the team still has cap space for the future. On the down side, there is not much hope to win in a suddenly top-heavy east without another all-star. Unless the Carmelo and Tony Parker are joining him, as Stoudemire suggests, this team will continue to be stuck in mediocrity.

    David Lee - Golden State Warriors
    Seems like a perfect match: one of the worst defenders in the league joins one of the worst defensive teams. This worked out well for Lee, he will certainly thrive and post huge numbers in this system, but he won’t add much to the win column. Golden State definitely overpaid for his services, and lost out on a couple promising young talents too.

    Kevin Durant - Oklahoma City Thunder
    Durant signed a max contract extension to remain with the Thunder, which is a great move. He is the focal point of an up and coming young team with a GM that is going about building a contender the right way. By not taking on large contracts and building this team through the draft and bargain role players, the Thunder have created a good young team with options to get better in the future, something the Cavs failed at when trying to keep LeBron.

    Dwayne Wade - Miami Heat
    The ultimate winner of this offseason. Not only does Wade gets to stay on HIS team in the city he loves (and loves him back because he brought them a championship), but he convinced two other all-stars to join him, included a two-time MVP. His decision makes the most sense and was also the least in doubt of all the stars.

    Chris Bosh - Miami Heat
    Another big winner, it was evident very quickly that Bosh wanted to play next to another star, preferably Wade or James, and he ended up with both. Whether he was tired of subpar supporting casts or if he knew that he would never win a championship being the #1 option on a team, Bosh went into free agency looking for help, and he got it. In a BIG way.

    LeBron James - Miami Heat
    The initial reaction to LeBron signing with Miami is that his legacy will take a hit. Regardless of what happens, LeBron will always be subject to criticism that he couldn’t take a team to a championship by himself, any titles won will be the result of world class teammates in Wade and Bosh. It is refreshing, however, to see multiple stars take a pay cut for the good of the team. What people are also forgetting is that these guys are all friends; wouldn’t you want a chance to spend the next 5 years of your life playing basketball (and winning championships) with your friends? James has already taken quite a beating back in his home state of Ohio. People have already been seen burning LeBron Cavs jerseys, and Cavs owner Dan Gilbert appears to have gone off the deep end with comments he made on the team’s website shortly following the announcement (claiming that the Cavs would win a championship before the self proclaimed ‘king’ and his new team). While I think these reactions are harsh (as a person LeBron deserves to decide where he wants to go in his life), LeBron did not show much class by stringing out everybody involved in this decision, culminating in a giant one hour tv special that seemed to exist mostly to stroke his own ego. Ultimately I think LeBron would have been better served signing with Chicago, where he still could have won championships, but be ‘the man’ while doing it.

    Wednesday, June 30, 2010

    Aaaaand we're back!

    Hello all. Sorry for the long break between posts; I've been busy training for last weeks NBA draft. Sadly, I went undrafted yet again, I thought the Knicks would surely overpay for my services this year. Back to reality, it is time to awaken the Goal Posters from their hibernation. Lets touch on the major sporting events that occurred while we were away:

    • The Los Angeles Lakers defeated the Boston Celtics in 7 games to claim the 2010 NBA Championship, their second in a row. It was the franchise's 16th title, one short of the Celtics for the League lead. The championship was Finals MVP Kobe Bryant's 5th and coach Phil Jackson's 11th.
    • The 49 year wait for a Stanley Cup title in Chicago is over. The Blackhawks defeated the Flyers in 6 games to claim the Cup, winning the deciding game 4-3 in OT. Jonathan Toews won the Conn Smythe Trophy, leading his team with 29 postseason points.
    • John Isner defeated Nicolas Mahut in the longest tennis match ever, 6-4, 3-6, 6-7 (7-9), 7-6 (7-3), 70-68. No that last set is not a typo. Wimbledon does not incorporate tie-breaks in the fifth set, finishing only when one player goes ahead by two games. The match lasted 11 hours and 5 minutes, 8 hours and 11 minutes of which came in the fifth set. The 138 game set featured strong service games from both players, with the only break coming in the deciding game of the set. Isner finished with a record 112 aces, while Mahut had 102.
    • The Fifa World Cup has reached the quarterfinal stage, and while many of the usual suspects have made it this far, both participants in the 2006 final, Italy and France, have headed home early. The United States was eliminated by Ghana in the round of 16 after finishing first in their group.

    Friday, April 30, 2010

    Cue the Defense

    Today's Blog is brought to you by the number 41

    41, the number Jaroslav Halak wears Montreal uniform. 41, the number of saves Halak made on Wednesday night vs. the Washington Capitals. 41, the number of blocked shots by his forwards & defensemen in the same game; a combined 82 shot attempts that a Montreal player turned away against the top seeded Caps.
    If you don't watch the NHL on a regular basis, the first 55 minutes of Wednesday night's game 7 between the Montreal Canadians and the Washington Capitals most likely had you clawing your eyes out with boredom. The Canadians took a 1-0 lead after defense man Marc-Andre Bergeron slapped home a rocket on a power play with 30 ticks left in the 1st.

    Cue the defense
    The Canadians immediately revved up their go-to center ice trap (aka Neutral ice trap) for the remainder of the game and executed it to perfection. The capitals are a highly talented, score first team and the frustration was palpable for superstars Alex Ovechkin and company. The Canadians were disrupting the flow of the Capitals forwards in the neutral zone and pushing everything wide in the defensive zone. The Caps and Habs are about as opposite as they come in hockey and on Wednesday night we learned that there is something to be said about hard work and defense come playoff time.
    The Capitals knew they would be in the post season since New Year's while the Canadians fought through every one of the 82 regular season games just to catch an 8-seed. The Caps had high expectations and nothing less than a Stanley Cup would fulfill those goals. Every attempt the Caps made to get their offense chugging along was denied by the shin pads or sticks of a Canadian player. Any shots that managed to find their way to the net were turned away by Halak. For most of the game the Caps could hardly manage to find a shot that wasn't from just inside the blue line or from a corner. Game 7 of this series made it tough to tell which team was playing for the cup as the Caps came out sluggish and the Habs were all over the ice in one of the most inspiring clutch performances in recent hockey history.

    With 3:36 Dominic Moore gave the Canadians a 2-0 lead after Mike Green, Caps defensmen lost a battle to a lose puck with Montreal D Hal Gill. The Canadians had gone minutes without seeing a good scoring opportunity, but managed to deliver on Washington mistakes as they had all series. The Caps finally managed a goal with 2:16 remaining in the 3rd on a rebound put-back from Brooks Laich. The score would remain 2-1 Montreal even though the Habs had to fight off a penalty for the last 1:44 of the contest. For a game dominated by defense, the last 5 minutes of game 7 were about as tense as they come on both ends of the ice.

    With the upset of the #1 seed Capitals, the Canadians will now face Evgeni Malkin and the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Pens took care of business against Ottawa in round 1 with a 4-2 series victory. The Canadians will have to find a way to spend more time in their opponents zone and put a clamp down on star forwards Crosby and Malkin as they did vs the Caps. They must also continue to capitalize on mistakes they force with their traps.

    Typically seeing a match-up vs the 8-seed in the playoffs will leave any team, especially the defending Stanley Cup champs, salivating; After game 7 this week the Canadians have Pittsburgh players/fans thinking otherwise.

    STAT LINES OF GAME:
    • Montreal Defense - 41 blocks, Halak 41 saves
    • Marc-Andre Bergeron (6 shifts - 4:06 Ice Time, 1 Goal)
    • Scott Gomez (17 Faceoffs Won)
    3 STARS
    • 1st Star - Andrei Markov (25:12 played, 1 Goal, 6 Blks)
    • 2nd Star - Jaroslav Halak (41 saves, 1GAA)
    • 3rd Star - Hal Gill (23:35 played, 1 Assist, 6 Blks)
    Round 2 of the NHL playoffs includes:

    1 San Jose vs 5 Detroit (San Jose leads 1-0)
    2 Chicago vs 3 Vancouver

    4 Pittsburgh vs 8 Montreal
    6 Boston vs 7 Philadelphia

    Links

    Wednesday, April 28, 2010

    Draft Recap - Chicago Bears

    I'm Drew, representin' the Chi. So with that comes knowledge of all of the Chicago sports teams, including soccer but unfortunately not lingerie football (go Chicago Bliss!). Don't ask me about the Bulls because since Michael Jordan I've refused to watch a full NBA game (and don't intend to until the Bulls get back to the Finals). I also have a sick fascination for certain California teams because basically I'm a California wannabe. Oh, and I went to Notre Dame. So hate away.

    Draft Recap - Daaaaa Bears

    Two words: Jay Cutler. Totally worth first and second round picks, right? Let's get down to business: Da Bears definitely needed to address concerns on both sides of the ball - in particular the offensive line and the defensive secondary (let's face it if Cutler turns out to be a bust many people in the Bears organization will be fired; I never thought I'd be rooting for Mike Martz to do well). But at least they'll still have the cool stadium that was pooped out by a UFO into the shell of Old Soldier Field.
    Free agent acquisitions Julius Peppers and Chester Taylor were encouraging moves, despite the possibility that, like Cutler, Peppers will have difficulty adjusting to the Bears' schemes or just flat out play like crap. Chester Taylor should have an impact immediately, but even with that the Bears still need o-line help.

    Back to the draft...

    Major Wright, S (round 3, 75 overall). Wright was the best safety available, and the Bears desperately need to have a solid free safety to compliment SS Kevin Payne... except I just learned that they traded Payne, a hard-hitting SS, to St. Louis for a 2011 draft pick and finally got back S Chris Harris from Carolina, for Jamar Williams, a promising young LB. Do they think Brian Urlacher will live forever??

    Corey Wootton, DE (round 4, 109 overall); Dan LeFevour, QB (round 6, 181 overall). These are the Bears' obligatory picks that have Chicago connections (no matter how pointless they are the Bears always draft somebody from the Chicago area); Wootton being from Northwestern and LeFevour originally from Downers Grove. Two moronic picks as Wootton has been injury-plagued (...and they just acquired Peppers, with DE Mark Anderson a young impressionable DE to learn from him) and LeFevour - there's no way he can be anything more than a backup, and there's nothing wrong with QB Caleb Hanie.

    Joshua Moore, DB (round 5, 141 overall). A bit young but has the skills and capability to (eventually) get playing time. J'Marcus Webb, T (round 7, pick 11). This being a strange draft in which lots of o-linemen and defensive grunts were drafted high, this is an OK stretch only if there was no decent OL left in the 3rd round. Basically the Bears addressed their defensive concerns, but slacked off on an o-line that last year led to one of the NFL's poorest run offenses. It doesn't matter if it's RB Matt Forte, Taylor, or Walter Payton, the o-line will prevent them from running effectively.

    Grade: C. For Cutler.

    Tuesday, April 27, 2010

    Why Oklahoma City can beat the Lakers

    The ending of Game 4 of the Oklahoma City Thunder/Los Angeles Lakers series was a strange sight. None of the usual suspects were on the floor due to the game being a blowout, but not in the direction that anyone would have expected. Final score: Thunder 110 Lakers 89. Many expected the Thunder to compete in this series and maybe even steal a game or two, but ultimately everybody knew that the defending champs would defeat the young Oklahoma City team without being tested too much. Nobody foresaw the Thunder manhandling LA as thoroughly as they did in Game 4, and now with the series tied at 2 games apiece, the Thunder have a realistic chance at winning this series.

    If OKC can steal Game 5 in LA, then they take a series lead home for Game 6 to a great home crowd which creates an environment that makes them tough to beat. The notion of winning in LA isn't as far-fetched as one might think, as the Thunder only lost by 8 in Game 1 and 3 in Game 2. If they can continue to play the way the have then this team will put themselves in a position to win tonight. In their two wins this series the Thunder have gotten balanced scoring, which makes them a very difficult team to beat. Kevin Durant is averaging 27 points and Russell Westbrook 22 points, however contributions from Jeff Green and especially James Harden off the bench kept the scoring pressure off of the two stars. If the role players continue scoring, then shutting down Durant doesn't kill Oklahoma City's chances to win.

    Rebounding has also been extremely key to the Thunder's success. This is strange since the Lakers enjoy such a large height advantage, however in the Thunder's two wins they have outrebounded Los Angeles. Both Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum are averaging 11 and 10 boards respectively, but the rebound-by-committee approach of OKC has allowed them to win the battle for the boards. Seven Thunder players are averaging at least 3.8 rebounds in this series, led by Durant (19 boards in Game 3) and Westbrook (6.5 rpg). Getting solid rebounding contributions from multiple players, especially from the guard positions, allows the Thunder to overcome 21 rpg from Bynum and Gasol.

    The Lakers have multiple issues that need to be addressed, foremost of which is shot distribution. Not only did Kobe Bryant only attempt 10 shots in Game 4, he didn't even take a shot until the second quarter. Los Angeles needs Kobe to score and not spend an entire quarter 'getting his teammates involved'. While that may sound like a good teammate, this Lakers team needs Kobe to lead by scoring, or at the very least looking for his shot. In addition, Bynum and Gasol have to get more touches; both these players are shooting well over 50% for the series, however they are only taking a combined 22 shots per game. The Lakers need to use these skilled post scorers to abuse the Thunder in the paint and dominate the remainder of this series. Where should these extra shots come from? Why, Derek Fisher of course! Fisher is putting up 9 shots per game, and while he is shooting 50% from beyond the arc, he is only shooting 27% on two point shots. Fisher needs to only be shooting spot of threes when the ball is kicked out of the post; that is when he is at his best and that is what will give LA the best chance to win.

    Oklahoma City has been able to take the Lakers height 'advantage' and turn it into a positive situation for themselves, by hitting outside shots and getting into transition. Gasol has had enormous amounts of trouble guarding Jeff Green the last two games due to Green's quickness and ability to knock down threes. If OKC can continue to use their quickness and athleticism to get fast break opportunities, then they have a chance to pull off this upset.

    Monday, April 26, 2010

    Pittsburgh Steelers Draft Recap

    In the midst of a tumultuous off season the Pittsburgh Steelers, one of the annual "winners" at the draft, had some serious needs to fill for the first time in a while. Age, departures, and sub-par performances left holes on the offensive line, in the secondary, at wide receiver, and at running back. A much larger article on the Ben Roethlisberger saga will be appearing later, but for now just a few quick hitters on how they did on draft day.

    Draft Thoughts

    • Despite some unexpected players (Brian Bulaga, Dez Bryant) being available when the Steelers went on the clock with the 18th pick, the Steelers stuck with the guy they had targeted from the beginning of the off season. Florida center Maurkice Pouncey is a 6'4" 304 pound bulldog and will provide instant help to an offensive line coming off an underwhelming year.
    • In one of the more discussed moves of the draft, the Steelers drafted three outside linebackers in the 2nd, 4th, and 5th rounds respectively. Pittsburgh is a team traditionally known for its pass rushing outside linebackers, but only two can ever play a down together, and, perhaps more importantly, it is not a position that was considered a need. Some suspect however that this was a strategic move to improve the Steelers coverage unit on special teams; an area where they struggled mightily last year.
    • Replacing traded WR Santonio Holmes became a priority in this draft. Along with the continued improvement of second year blazer Mike Wallace, the Steelers hope 3rd round draft choice Emmanuel Sanders out of SMU will help replace Holmes. Sanders should also help in the return game right away.
    • In a league that is increasingly moving towards a two-back system, the Steelers may have struck late round gold by snagging Jonathan Dwyer out of Georgia Tech with 188th overall pick. Dwyer is a bruiser and should help spell starting running back Rashard Mendenhall immediately.
    • The biggest trade of the draft for Pittsburgh happened when the Steelers traded for Bryant McFadden, a former Pittsburgh defensive back that spent the last year with the Arizona Cardinals. The veteran player should make a difference on a unit that had a rough year.
    Steelers Picks
    1. C Maurkice Pouncey - Florida (18th pick, 1st round)
    2. OLB Jason Worilds- Virginia Tech (52nd pick, 2nd round)
    3. WR Emmanuel Sanders - SMU (82nd pick, 3rd round)
    4. OLB Thaddeus Gibson - Ohio State (116th pick, 4th round)
    5. OG Chris Scott - Tennessee (151st pick, 5th round)
    6. CB Crezdon Butler - Clemson (164th pick, 5th round)
    7. OLB Stevenson Sylvester - Utah (166th pick, 5th round)
    8. RB Jonathan Dwyer - Georgia Tech (188th pick 6th round)
    9. WR Antonio Brown - Central Michigan (195th pick, 6th round)
    10. DE Doug Worthington - Ohio State (242 pick, 7th round)
    Grade: B

    Thursday, April 22, 2010

    Let's Catch Up

    NHL Playoff Series
    East
    • Capitals 3 - Canadians 1
    • Flyers 3 - Devils 1
    • Bruins 3 - Sabres 1
    • Penguins 3 - Senators 1
    West
    • Sharks 2 - Avalanche 2
    • Predators 2 - Hawks 1
    • Canucks 2 - Kings 2
    • Red Wings 2 - Coyotes 2
    Some Extra NHL Notes:
    • The #1 seed Washington Capitals pulled starter Jose Theodore for backup Semyon Varlamov after Theodore lost game 1 in OT and proceeded to allow 2 goals on his first 2 shots in game 2.
    • Sidney Crosby leads the NHL in playoff points - 4 goals and 7 assists for 11 points.
    • Nicklas Backstrom is second - 5 goals & 4 assists
    • Alex Ovechkin - 4 goals & 4 assists for 8 points
    • Henrick Zetterburg - 5 goals @ 2 assists for 7 points
    • New Jersey goalie Martin Brodeur has given up 14 goals in 4 games vs. the Flyers.
    • Flyer forwards Simone Gagne & Jeff Carter both suffered foot injuries in game 4 in Philly on Tuesday.
    Other Sports News:
    • Drew Brees was officially named the Madden 11 cover boy today. The cover was decided based on fan voting for the first time in history. The game Madden 11 will be released by EA Sports on August 10.
    • Tonight (April 22) is the NFL draft. It can be seen on ESPN at 7:30 pm.
    • NBA playoff action on Thursday includes the Lakers, Cavaliers, and Suns.
    Links:

    Tuesday, April 20, 2010

    Detroit Lions 2010 Draft

    As a life long Detroit Lions Fan, this Thursday is my super bowl. The NFL draft is the only time of the year i have hope for my team for the upcoming season. After a 2-14 season the Lions earned themselves the number 2 pick in the upcoming draft. This year is one of the deepest drafts in terms of defensive talent in recent memory and I fully expect the Lions to take advantage of it.

    With the number 2 pick in the NFL draft the Detroit lions select Ndomukong Suh, Defensive Tackle from Nebraska.
    Yes, the Lions have many other needs that need to be addressed especially in the secondary, offensive line, and at running back, but I cannot see Jim Schwartz and Gunther Cunningham passing on the best player in the draft. They have also had the worst defense in league history the last two years and the along with the additions they have made on the Defensive line this off season, Suh will be a major piece in getting the Lions to respectability.



    With the 34th pick in the 2010 NFL draft the Detroit Lions select Sean Weatherspoon LB Missouri. I can also see Brandon Spikes being drafted here but i don't think he will get out of the first round. Everything i have seen on Weatherspoon shows that he can really play; and he did it at Missouri (which isn't exactly known for strong defensive teams).
    *Authors edit: recent news has me thinking that the 34th pick could be Taylor Mays from USC (not as a safety but as a Linebacker).

    With the 66th pick in the NFL draft the Detroit Lions select Myron Rolle, SS Flordia state. If Rolle falls to the 3rd round the Lions will be getting a steal. If he would have entered the draft last year he would have been a late first round or early second round pick. A tandem of Rolle and Delmas at safety will greatly help the rest of the defense and along with the addition of 1st round pick Ndumkong Suh, the Lions could resemblance that of an actual NFL defense.

    This is what i believe should happen though i can see other scenarios playing out. I would like to see the Lions focus on improving the worst Defense in the NFL. Now, having said all this and knowing the Lions, they will most likely draft Okung from Oklahoma st. in the first round, Best from Cal in the second round, and a receiver in the 3rd round... Maybe this is the year where the Lions actually do something right to improve their defense, for once.

    The Curse of the John Madden


    EA Sports has narrowed down their next victim for the 2011 Madden cover to 3 players; Front-runner Drew Brees of the New Orleans Saints, Reggie Wayne of the Indianapolis Colts, and Jared Allen of the Minnesota Vikings. What exactly is the Madden Curse you ask? Prior to 1999 the video game series of Madden NFL Football features John Madden himself on every cover. It was during the 1999 season that a tradition of putting a prominent player from the previous years season on the cover began. That is when all the trouble started:

    Madden 1999
    Garrison Hearst was the original Madden cover boy. He had a great regular season but broke his ankle in the divisional playoff game vs the Falcons. Hearst would miss two full NFL seasons to start off what has become an annual phenomenon.

    Madden 2000
    Barry Sanders is pictured in this version of Madden and retired before training camp even began.

    *Madden 2001
    Eddie George escaped the curse unharmed as he rushed 403 times for 1,509 yards while playing in every game.

    Madden 2002
    Daunte Culpepper was the league leader in TD passes in 2000 with 33. After being placed on the cover Daunte threw for only 13 TDs and 14 INTs. He also missed the final 5 games of the season with a knee injury.

    Madden 2003
    Marshall Faulk had rushed for 1,000 yards in 7 of his first 8 seasons as a pro. After being on the cover Faulk never hit the mark again and missed 2 games with an ankle injury.

    Madden 2004
    Michael Vick broke his leg in a pre-season game. He would miss the first 11 games of the season.

    *Madden 2005
    Ray Lewis got away for the most part but he failed to get an INT for the first time in his career and injured his wrist in week 15.

    Madden 2006
    Donovan McNabb missed the final 7 games of the season with a hernia.

    Madden 2007
    Shaun Alexander rushed for 1880 yards in the previous year. His first 3 games produced only 187 yards and he went on to break a bone in his foot causing him to miss 6 games in 2006.

    Madden 2008
    Vince Young suffered a knee injury in week 3 of the 2007 season. He would be replaced by backup QB Kerry Collins who would take over as starter for the rest of the year.

    Madden 2009
    Brett Favre played for the Jets in his first season away from the Green Bay Packers. Favre led the Jets to a fast start (8-3) but saw the season fall apart as he threw 2 TDs and 9 INTs in the last 5 games. Favre admitted to having an arm injury after the season but he played through the pain.


    Madden 2010
    Troy Polamalu of the Pittsburgh Steelers sprained his MCL in the first half of the Steeler's first game and would go on to miss 13 games in the 2009 season. Madden 10 feautured 2 athletes on the cover, the second being Arizona's Larry Fitzgerald who escaped the curse.

    Maybe you don't believe in curses and think that being on the Madden cover is no big deal. It is hard to ignore the fact that in 12 versions of the Madden game we have seen such consistent injury and decline in performance from players that appear on this cover. I can just picture Madden sitting there poking the cover with pins and needles voodoo doll style. He must have been busy in 01 and 05. Maybe this jinx is just a 12 year coincidence and players in the NFL are just subject to off-seasons and injury. No one knows for sure but taking a look at the track record...

    Drew Brees may want to give Eddie George a call.

    Monday, April 19, 2010

    Michigan Ultimate Sectionals

    While this blog normally deals with the major sports, I would like to take some time writing about a sport that is far from major. This sport doesn't have a professional league, isn't sanctioned by the NCAA, and doesn't even have referees. I am talking about a sport that has quickly become one of my favorites, Ultimate Frisbee.

    Most people are familiar with Ultimate only as a pickup sport, but many don't know that there are Ultimate leagues across the country and the world. I stumbled into the world of Ultimate while in college when one of the players that I was playing pickup with twice a week invited me to join the team at Western Michigan. Thus I entered the realm of competitive Ultimate that most people, other than those playing in it, don't even know exists. In the US leagues are governed by the Ultimate Players Association, or UPA, and are broken into a college and club season. Club ultimate is split into divisions that include Open, Womens, Mixed and Masters, while the College season has only Open and Mixed divisions. The college season is played in the spring and every year teams compete in three tournaments to crown a national champion: sectionals, regionals and nationals.

    This past weekend college Ultimate teams from all across the state of Michigan descended upon Kalamazoo for the Michigan Ultimate Sectionals, with the top four teams moving on to the Great Lakes Regional in Boomington, Ill. Coming into the weekend it was known that traditional powers Michigan State and Michigan would place 1st and 2nd, leaving two bids to regionals to be fought for among the remaining teams, namely Kalamazoo College, Western Michigan, Michigan Reserve, Calvin College, and Hope College.

    Wind can play a major factor in Ultimate, and that was very evident during Saturday's games; none more so than WMU's Dark Horse vs Hope College. With neither team able to score an upwind point (when the offense scores while throwing into the wind), the two teams traded points and the game ended with Hope scoring a downwind point to win (due to the fact that Hope won the opening flip and thus got to be on offense first). It was a tough loss for Dark Horse, but its all a part of the game.

    While the majority of my time was spent watching my alma mater and former team, Dark Horse, I was able to watch some other games, including the championship game of Magnum (Michigan) vs Burning Couch (Michigan State). These two teams went into the weekend ranked 11th and 12th in the nation, adding to the already fierce rivalry that these teams have. Couch controlled the game for most of the contest, taking half at 8-5 before eventually leading 13-10, however Magnum made a comeback, evening the score at 14 all and forcing a winner-take-all Universe Point. State scored to take the game and the section, ending a string of sectional wins by Michigan.

    Another major rivalry was renewed this weekend, as the always heated game between crosstown foes Dark Horse and the Ultimate Buzz of Kalamazoo College was played Sunday morning. The game was hard-fought, with many momentum shifts, but in the end the Buzz ended a string of three consecutive losses by defeating Dark Horse 13-11, and reclaiming the Alyson Cup (a rivalry trophy given to the winner of each Dark Horse/Buzz matchup).

    The weekend ended with Michigan State, Michigan, K-College, and Michigan Reserve moving on to regionals. Dark Horse's dreams of regionals ended when they finished 6th, which was not a major surprise given the amount of youth on the team. However, losing only two seniors and with a strong showing by the recruits of this past year, Dark Horse is primed to make several regional runs in the next few years. Next up for the top four is a trip to Bloomington where they will attempt to be one of the top two teams that gets to compete for the championship at nationals in Madison, WI.

    Saturday, April 17, 2010

    NBA Postseason Preview

    1 Cleveland Cavaliers
    vs
    8 Chicago Bulls

    Cleveland
    The Cavs bring the best record in the league to the playoffs with them, and a determination to avenge last years loss to the Magic in the Conference Finals. New faces Antawn Jamison and Shaquille O'Neal were brought in for this time of year only. Jamison to be the reliable second scorer Cleveland hasn't had in years and Shaq to guard the likes of Dwight Howard and Andrew Bynum. Then there's also that LeBron kid, who said that the Bulls would see a 'different animal' in these playoffs. Watch out Chicago.

    Chicago
    The strong play of Derrick Rose and the return of Joakim Noah from injury allowed the Bulls to scrape into the playoffs. This team does have playoff experience from last years epic 7-game series with Boston, however key players Ben Gordon and John Salmons, who carried Chicago in much of that series, have moved on to other teams. Kirk Hinrich is playing solid basketball, as usual, and Taj Gibson has proven he can play in the frontcourt along with Noah.

    Key Matchup - Luol Deng vs LeBron James
    Since it is doubtful that anybody on the planet can guard LeBron, the goal becomes simply slowing him down, which might be an impossible task for Deng. LeBron will be able to get anywhere on the court, while shutting down Deng on the other end with his ever improving defense.

    X-Factor - Bench Play
    While both teams have solid starting lineups, the bench is what sets the Cavs apart. Cleveland knows it will get production from Varajao, Big Z, Delonte West, and Daniel Gibson. Can Chicago get anything from Flip Murray, James Johnson, and Brad Miller?

    Prediction
    Cavs in 5

    2 Orlando Magic
    vs
    7 Charlotte Bobcats

    Orlando
    The Magic began the year with one goal in mind: return to the championship and finish with a ring. The addition of Matt Barnes helped to bring toughness and perimeter defense that Orlando lacked last year, while Vince Carter has filled the scoring and playmaking void left by Hedo Turkoglu. Dwight Howard is a force that few teams can contain on either end of the court.

    Charlotte
    This is the Bobcats first appearance in the playoff, made possible by the trade for Stephen Jackson at the beginning of the year. Jackson combines with Gerald Wallace and Boris Diaw to form one of the most versatile lineup in the league, with each of those players capable of playing multiple positions. Tyson Chandler left the Bobcats game Wednesday night after landing hard on his elbow and hip. X-rays were negative, but this may limit his playoff minutes and effectiveness.

    Key Matchup - Dwight Howard vs Charlotte's Bigs
    The Bobcats do not have anybody capable of guarding Dwight, especially with the injury to Chandler. If Dwight demands the ball in the post, instead of disappearing while his teammates jack up threes as he has been known to do, he will dominate this series and end it swiftly.

    X-Factor - Bobcats perimeter defense
    The three point shooting of the Magic will make or break them in the playoffs. Larry Brown turned the Bobcats into one of the best defensive teams in the league this year, if he can get them to crowd the likes of Lewis, Carter, Barnes, and Redick then Charlotte will have a chance to steal a few games.

    Prediction
    Magic in 5

    3 Atlanta Hawks
    vs
    6 Milwaukee Bucks

    Atlanta
    Still holding distinction of most athletic team in the league, the Hawks have built on that athleticism to become one of the top teams in the East. The addition of Jamal Crawford gives Atlanta energy and scoring off the bench, along with a fearless crunch time shooter. The frontcourt tandem of Al Horford and Josh Smith is one of the best in the league at rebounding, defending, and blocking shots.

    Milwaukee
    Two weeks ago the Bucks were the team that nobody in the East wanted to see in the first round of the playoffs. Since the injury to Andrew Bogut, that sentiment has cooled off, but the Bucks haven't. Milwaukee has won four of six since losing Bogut, with veteran Kurt Thomas and Luc Richard Mbah a Moute filling in and doing a good job defensively. The offense, however, has become extremely perimeter oriented, with Brandon Jennings, John Salmons, and Carlos Delfino shouldering much of the load. Veterans Luke Ridnour and Jerry Stackhouse provide solid minutes off the bench.

    Key Matchup - Brandon Jennings vs Jamal Crawford
    It is the first time in the playoffs for both of these players, and while each has been spectacular during the regular season, this is a different brand of basketball. Each of these players has the ability to shoot their team into or out of a series; which one will take (and make) the right shots at the right times could be the deciding factor in the series.

    X-Factor - Ersan Ilyasova
    The 'other' rookie on the Bucks has shown that he can pick up some of the scoring slack left by Bogut's injury. Ilyasova has scored 13 ppg in Milwaukee's four wins and just 7.5 ppg in the two losses after Bogut went down. He is the only offensive post presence that the Bucks have and his scoring would take pressure off of the guards, who occasionally try to do too much.

    Prediction
    Atlanta in 6

    4 Boston Celtics
    vs
    5 Miami Heat

    Boston
    Boston has limped into the playoffs nursing injuries, bad chemistry, and old age. The Celtics struggled to find a rhythm down the stretch, as their defense has been poor (opponents have scored over 100 in 8 of the last 9 games) and the offense hasn't been good enough to compensate. The Big Three are aging and have sputtered a bit lately, while the bench hasn't produced well enough to be counted on in the playoffs. Rajon Rondo has been the teams best player, but on a team with the likes of Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen, that isn't a good thing.

    Miami
    The Heat are clicking on every level right now, winning 12 of their last 13 games. Dwayne Wade has been awesome, but it is the role players that have stepped in to give the Heat a boost. Scoring from Michael Beasley and Quentin Richardson, and solid inside play from Jermaine O'Neal and Udonis Haslem make this team a difficult matchup.

    Key Matchup - Rajon Rondo vs Mario Chalmers and Carlos Arroyo
    Point guard play will have a large impact on the outcome of this series. As previously stated, Rondo has been the best player on the Celtics, while point guard has been the weakest position for the Heat. Will either Chalmers or Arroyo be able to prevent Rondo from scoring and setting up his teammates? It is highly likely that Rondo could average 17+ points and 12+ assists in this series. (Note - disregard all of this if Wade takes on the task of guarding Rondo)

    X-Factor - Dwayne Wade
    I know it seems like a cop-out, but Wade has the ability to take over a playoff series. If he decides that he won't let the Heat lose, then he can carry them to a series win as he has shown in the past.

    Prediction
    Miami in 6

    1 Los Angeles Lakers
    vs
    8 Oklahoma City Thunder

    Los Angeles
    The Lakers have lost 7 of their last 11 games heading into the postseason, with the biggest problem seeming to be a lack of intensity (missing Andrew Bynum and Kobe for a few games doesn't help either). The defending champs have been coasting for a while now, and it remains to be seen if they can flip the proverbial switch now that the playoffs are here. The champs switched out Ariza for Artest hoping for a shutdown defender, and while Artest has slowed a bit, he can still defend well when he is properly motivated.

    Oklahoma City
    The Thunder are one of the most exciting teams in the League to watch. Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and Jeff Green form an extremely athletic and talented top three that are backed by solid bench players. James Harden can ball and will be a solid pro in the years to come, while Eric Maynor is the best pure point guard that can be found coming off of the bench. OKC also has a solid collection of big men, the most intriguing of whom (Serge Ibaka) has shown the potential to be a great defensive center. The biggest knock on this team is lack of experience, but they make up for it with a collective swagger of a team that expects to win games.

    Key Matchup - Russell Westbrook vs LA point guards
    It is highly doubtful that Derek Fisher can stay in from of Westbrook for long past the opening tip, so how will young backups Shannon Brown and Jordan Farmar fare? If Kobe ends up guarding Westbrook, can the Thunder's 2 guards take advantage and score on Fisher? A big series for Westbrook would be huge for OKC, and conversely, shutting down Westbrook and not giving the Thunder a second scoring option would give the defending champs an enormous advantage.

    X-Factor - Andrew Bynum's Health
    If a healthy Bynum plays, there is very little chance that the Thunder can win this series. Playing Bynum allows Pau Gasol to switch to power forward, forming one of the tallest front lines in the NBA. The Thunder's best lineup is small, with Jeff Green at the 4, but he would get abused by Gasol in the post. Anytime Bynum and Pau can be on the court there will be huge matchup problems for the Thunder.

    Prediction
    LA in 6

    2 Dallas Mavericks
    vs
    7 San Antonio Spurs

    Dallas
    The Mavericks have been on a tear ever since trading for Caron Butler and Brendan Haywood. Butler has been the reliable scorer that Josh Howard never turned into, while Haywood gives Dallas a younger, taller version of starting center, Erick Dampier. Jason Kidd defies age and continues to play great basketball, and Dirk is Dirk. This is one of the most talented teams in the NBA and they are built for a deep playoff run.

    San Antonio
    Tim Duncan and Co. are getting healthy at just the right time, which is bad news for the Mavericks. The combination veterans with championship experience and energetic young players is nearly perfect. Duncan, Ginobli and Parker all have rings, while Richard Jefferson and Antonio McDyess are no strangers to the playoffs either. Recent injuries to Parker have allowed George Hill to mature as he received extra playing time and DeJuan Blair has been outstanding every time he is on the floor.

    Key Matchup - Jason Terry vs Manu Ginobli
    Assuming Manu returns to the bench, the top sub from each of these teams will be the last two Sixth Man of the Year award winners. Both teams rely on their respective player for energy and scoring off of the bench, and whichever player can provide it more consistently could swing the series.

    X-Factor - Richard Jefferson
    When Jefferson was traded to the Spurs, many labeled them as the team to beat in the entire league. While those expectations may have been a bit lofty, Jefferson's presence hasn't given quite the boost that was expected. Jefferson can silence all his critics with a solid playoff showing. If he can be the scorer that he has been in the past, then he gives the Spurs an extra dimension that would make them extremely tough to beat.

    Prediction
    Dallas in 7

    3 Phoenix Suns
    vs
    6 Portland Trailblazers

    Phoenix
    The Suns blazed through the second half of the season (23-6 since the All-Star break) to the three seed. Steve Nash has been his usual self, leading this team with expert passing, great leadership, and stellar shooting percentages. Amare Stoudemire responded to all the trade talks by averaging nearly 27 points on 56% shooting and 9.6 boards in the last two months of the season. The real reason for the Suns success has been *gasp* defense. Phoenix has moved from one of the leagues bottom defenses to the middle of the pack, which combines with their offense (best in the league) to form a dangerous combination (top 5 in point differential).

    Portland
    The TrailBlazers have struggled past a myriad of injuries to make it into the playoffs, only to be stripped of their best player for at least the first series. Brandon Roy will have surgery to repair a torn meniscus, leaving Portland searching to replace his production. They will need increased contributions from frontcourt players LaMarcus Aldridge and Marcus Camby, while veteran point guard Andre Miller now seems like an excellent free agent pickup this offseason. Miller will need to combine with Rudy Fernandez and Jerryd Bayless to account for Roy's lost playmaking and outside scoring.

    Key Matchup - Suns Bigs vs Blazers Bigs
    Once a weakness due to season ending injuries to Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla, the Blazers froncourt has been bolstered through a trade for veteran Marcus Camby. Camby and Aldridge could take advantage of a Suns frontcourt that is without its top post defender in Robin Lopez. If Portland can beat up the Suns down low, and possibly get Stoudemire in foul trouble, then they have a shot at extending this series.

    X-Factor - Rudy Fernandez
    The best thing about Brandon Roy being injured is that the world gets to see a lot of my favorite current NBA player, Rudy Fernandez. Fernandez will start at shooting guard for the Blazers, and they will need him to play well to have chance at winning this series. 'Rudy Buckets' is a very athletic player who can play above the rim, shoot the three, and create for his teammates. A good showing in this series may just allow the Blazers to forget about what they are missing in Roy, and give them a chance at upsetting the Suns in round 1.

    Prediction
    Phoenix in 5

    4 Denver Nuggets
    vs
    5 Utah Jazz

    Denver
    The Nuggets enter the playoffs a bit disappointed. After losing to the Lakers in a tough series last year, the goal was to have a solid regular season and obtain home court advantage throughout the playoffs; now the Nuggets may only have if for the first round. Carmelo Anthony can score from anywhere on the court, and Chauncey Billups is one of the best game managers in the league. J.R. Smith is the streakiest shooter in the NBA and can make or break the Nuggets this year. The frontcourt of Nene, Kenyon Martin, and Chris Anderson is solid, but not spectacular.

    Utah
    The Jazz were in position to be as high as the two seed a week ago and now don't even have home court advantage for the first round. Regardless, any Jerry Sloan team is going to be solid defensively and execute well on offense. Deron Williams has complete control of this team, and it often goes as he goes. Carlos Boozer is a presence in the post, but backup Paul Milsap is not too shabby either. The scoring from the remaining players can be a mystery from game to game, with any player capable of going for anywhere from 0 to 20 points in a game. The offense is predicated on the pick and roll, and how well the Nuggets defend this will impact this series in a large way. It also looks as if perennially injured Andrei Kirilenko will miss at least the first series.

    Key Matchup - Carlos Boozer's Rib Cage vs Kenyon Martin's Knee
    The health of these two players will have a huge influence on the outcome of this series. Both these players play a key role in their teams offenses, and while it looks like Martin will play, Boozer will be a game-time decision. Boozer may be more instrumental to his teams success, but he also has a more talented backup in Paul Milsap, who attack the boards with the best in the league but lacks Boozer's post scoring ability. The availability for one of both of these players could swing a game and with it the series.

    X-Factor - J.R. Smith
    As was touched on earlier, Smith is a player that can be nonexistent for games at a time, but can also drop 40 without batting an eye. If he gets hot, this series could be over very quickly, because he can be very tough to cool off.

    Prediction
    Nuggets in 7